The Rise of China and the New Global Order MTA
Economic statecraft, regional influence, and the implications for the West

About this book:

*The Rise of China and the New Global Order* explores China’s evolution from a peripheral player into a system-shaping superpower. Tracing the arc from Deng Xiaoping’s pragmatic reforms to Xi Jinping’s assertive "Chinese Dream," the book examines how Beijing leverages "party-state capitalism" to fuse market dynamism with authoritarian control. This model utilizes economic statecraft—including the Belt and Road Initiative, the internationalization of the yuan, and aggressive industrial policies in critical technologies like semiconductors and AI—to build global influence and secure strategic autonomy while challenging Western-led norms.

The analysis details a comprehensive military transformation aimed at achieving "world-class" status by 2049. Through "civil-military fusion," China integrates commercial innovation into defense capabilities, specifically focusing on maritime dominance in the South and East China Seas and establishing credible deterrence in the Taiwan Strait. This shift toward "informationized" warfare and gray-zone tactics creates a layered security challenge for the United States and its allies, forcing a recalibration of regional balances and the strengthening of partnerships like the Quad and AUKUS.

On the global stage, China is shown to be reshaping trade and governance by promoting alternative institutions and technical standards. While the West responds with strategies of "de-risking" and "friend-shoring" to insulate supply chains, China deepens its ties with the Global South and solidifies a strategic alignment with Russia. The book argues that this competition has moved beyond mere commerce into a fundamental contest over strategic narratives, human rights, and the digital architecture of the future.

The concluding chapters offer a framework for the future, stress-testing various scenarios for the global order through 2035. The author advocates for a policy of "competitive coexistence," characterized by the establishment of diplomatic and military guardrails to prevent accidental escalation. By combining credible deterrence with selective cooperation on shared existential threats like climate change and pandemic preparedness, the book suggests a pragmatic pathway to global stability in an era of unavoidable great-power rivalry.

What You'll Find Inside:

• Analysis of China's 'Party-State Capitalism' and how Beijing utilizes economic tools—such as state-owned enterprises, industrial policy, and finance—as levers of geopolitical statecraft.
• Examination of the 'Dual-Track Strategy' that integrates rapid military modernization and civil-military fusion with economic leverage to project power in the Indo-Pacific.
• Insight into the evolution of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI 2.0) and the 'Digital Silk Road,' focusing on infrastructure, technology standards, and global data governance.
• Strategic evaluation of critical technology competition in semiconductors, AI, and quantum computing, and the resulting trends of decoupling, de-risking, and friend-shoring.
• A framework for 'Competitive Coexistence' through 2035, offering policy options for the West to establish strategic guardrails and manage crises while maintaining global stability.

Who's It For:

This book is primarily intended for policymakers, business leaders, and international relations scholars seeking a disciplined, scenario-driven analysis of China’s global ascent. It is specifically beneficial for corporate strategists managing geopolitical risk, government officials calibrating trade and security policies, and students of political economy interested in the shifting dynamics of the 21st-century global order.